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Summary of Predictably Irrational 

4.6 . 7732 reviews

Short summary

Mainstream economists would have us believe that we are rational in our decision making. And it is on that basis that the world’s government and market systems are structured. Author Dan Ariely holds a view contrary to those of mainstream economists. According to him, mainstream economic theory does not give adequate explanations for man’s predictable irrationality; hence today’s world system is structured in a faulty way. In his book, he shares his hypothesis and the slew of several social experiments he carried out with the help of professional colleagues and the students he lectures in the University, all geared at testing and proving the several quirks that make us predictably irrational. He shares his conclusions too and the implications for our lives as we live them today. It is an immersive psychological read.

Table of content

  • Summary of Predictably Irrational
  • About the author
  • What is Predictably Irrational about?
  • Who should read Predictably Irrational
  • Topics in Predictably Irrational
first key point

Everything is relative

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We don’t know what we want unless we see it “in context.” For example, our role models and our mentors inspire our life and career choices. Our minds take decisions within specific contexts, comparing and weighing the advantages of one thing or option over the other. This is “relativity.” It is how we “know” that a 6-cylinder car model is more expensive than the 4-cylinder version.

In a study, 100 respondents were asked to choose one of three kinds of subscriptions to The Economist magazine — Internet-only for $59 or Internet + print for $125. 68 respondents chose the Internet-only subscription, while the remaining 32 respondents chose the Internet + print subscription. The research question was asked again but in a different context. A third option — an annual print-only subscription for $125 — was added. Only 16 of the respondents now chose the Internet-only subscription, a 76% decrease from the initial 68 respondents. 84 respondents now preferred the Internet + print subscription, a 262% increase from the initial 32 respondents.

The presence of the third option-the “decoy”-“messed up” the seemingly rational decisions the respondents took in the first research scenario; as the print + Internet subscription became a steal and the Internet-only subscription became less attractive. In actual fact, the Internet-only subscription became free once you chose the Internet + print option.

Relativity is real and it colors our decision-making, as Gregg Rapp, a Restaurant Consultant, would find out. Most restaurant customers will default to the second most pricey dish on the menu — usually engineered to deliver high-profit margins — if the most pricey dish is made pricey enough as to be “unattractive.”

Research done on relativity shows that we compare things that are readily comparable and avoid those that cannot be easily compared. Also, given three choices for which we cannot compute their relative values, we will default to the middle choice most of the time.

Relativity helps us to arrive at decisions in life. But then, it breeds jealousy and envy in us as we compare our lives to those of others. It hurts society too. It's the reason, for instance, why there are not enough family practice doctors in the US. Most of them have gone on to Medical Investment Advisory roles in Wall Street firms. It's the reason CEO pay spiked from 36 to 369 times the average worker’s pay from 1976 to 2008.

So what can you do about the problem with relativity?

Start by making the “circles” around you smaller to boost your relative happiness. For instance, at the class reunion, don’t feel compelled to be part of the main conversation in the middle of the room. Find someone on the sidelines to have a quiet conversation with, you will have just as much fun. Shop for houses you can really afford to buy. The same goes for cars.

Also, change your focus from the narrow to the broad. Why splurge that $3,000 to upgrade your new car seats from fabric to leather when you can invest it in travel, books, or on a new wardrobe.
second key point

First impressions last

Konrad Lorenz, the Naturalist, found out that when goslings — baby geese — break out of their eggs, they become attached to the first moving object they encounter. So goslings make their initial decisions based on what they can see in their environment and stick with this decision once it has been made. This is “imprinting.”
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third key point

Why free is not free

fourth key point

Keep it social

fifth key point

The aroused, irrational us

sixth key point

Why we procrastinate and what we can do about it

seventh key point

The ills of ownership

eighth key point

Options to nowhere

ninth key point

On expectations

tenth key point

Price and the placebo effect

eleventh key point

We are innately dishonest

twelfth key point

Conclusion

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What is Predictably Irrational about?

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Do you find yourself staring at your computer for long minutes, unaware of time slipping by? Do you enter a room and suddenly cannot remember why you stepped in the first place? Is it a herculean task for you to sit through ten pages of a book without reaching for your phone? If yes, your focus needs some work and fast.

Actually, yours is not a unique situation. Many adults like you have issues concentrating on a given task. However, in this fast-paced world of ours, you can’t afford to be not focused at all times. Thankfully, this article comes to your rescue! With the tips and tricks from Hyperfocus by Chris Bailey, you will get in the top percent of folks who have mastered the art of concentration.